{"id":298,"date":"2026-03-23T20:49:29","date_gmt":"2026-03-23T20:49:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.go-deck.com\/cn\/estimating-velocity-predicting-delivery-agile-projects\/"},"modified":"2026-03-23T20:49:29","modified_gmt":"2026-03-23T20:49:29","slug":"estimating-velocity-predicting-delivery-agile-projects","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.go-deck.com\/cn\/estimating-velocity-predicting-delivery-agile-projects\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4f30\u7b97\u901f\u5ea6\uff1a\u5728\u654f\u6377\u9879\u76ee\u4e2d\u9884\u6d4b\u4ea4\u4ed8"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img alt=\"Hand-drawn infographic summarizing Agile velocity estimation: definition, calculation steps, velocity vs capacity, factors affecting velocity, delivery prediction formula, common pitfalls, and team maturity stages for sprint planning and release forecasting\" decoding=\"async\" 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\u2696\ufe0f<\/h2>\n<p>\u867d\u7136\u901f\u5ea6\u8861\u91cf\u7684\u662f\u4ea7\u51fa\uff0c\u4f46\u5bb9\u91cf\u8861\u91cf\u7684\u662f\u53ef\u7528\u6027\u3002\u6df7\u6dc6\u4e24\u8005\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u8fc7\u5ea6\u627f\u8bfa\u3002\u5bb9\u91cf\u662f\u6307\u8003\u8651\u4e86\u5047\u671f\u3001\u4f1a\u8bae\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u4e49\u52a1\u540e\uff0c\u53ef\u7528\u4e8e\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u603b\u65f6\u95f4\u3002<\/p>\n<table>\n<tr>\n<th>\u65b9\u9762<\/th>\n<th>\u901f\u5ea6<\/th>\n<th>\u5bb9\u91cf<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>\u5b9a\u4e49<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>\u51b2\u523a\u4e2d\u5b9e\u9645\u5b8c\u6210\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002<\/td>\n<td>\u51b2\u523a\u4e2d\u53ef\u7528\u4e8e\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u603b\u65f6\u95f4\u3002<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>\u5355\u4f4d<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>\u6545\u4e8b\u70b9<\/td>\n<td>\u5c0f\u65f6\u6216\u5929\u6570<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>\u76ee\u7684<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>\u57fa\u4e8e\u5386\u53f2\u6570\u636e\u9884\u6d4b\u672a\u6765\u7684\u4ea7\u51fa\u3002<\/td>\n<td>\u89c4\u5212\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u91cf\u3002<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>\u968f\u65f6\u95f4\u8d8b\u4e8e\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002<\/td>\n<td>\u6839\u636e\u8ba1\u5212\u6bcf\u8f6e\u51b2\u523a\u90fd\u4f1a\u53d8\u5316\u3002<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>\u5728\u89c4\u5212\u51b2\u523a\u65f6\uff0c\u5e94\u4ece\u5bb9\u91cf\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u4fdd\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4eba\u90fd\u6709\u7a7a\u3002\u7136\u540e\u5c06\u8fd9\u79cd\u53ef\u7528\u6027\u4e0e\u5386\u53f2\u901f\u5ea6\u8fdb\u884c\u5bf9\u6bd4\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u4fdd\u56e2\u961f\u4e0d\u4f1a\u627f\u8bfa\u8d85\u51fa\u5176\u5904\u7406\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u79ef\u5206\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u5f71\u54cd\u901f\u5ea6\u7684\u56e0\u7d20 \ud83d\udcc9<\/h2>\n<p>\u901f\u5ea6\u5e76\u975e\u6052\u5b9a\u4e0d\u53d8\u3002\u5b83\u4f1a\u53d7\u5230\u591a\u79cd\u5185\u90e8\u548c\u5916\u90e8\u56e0\u7d20\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u800c\u6ce2\u52a8\u3002\u7406\u89e3\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53d8\u91cf\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u51c6\u786e\u8c03\u6574\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u56e2\u961f\u6784\u6210\uff1a<\/strong> \u5982\u679c\u5173\u952e\u5f00\u53d1\u4eba\u5458\u79bb\u804c\u6216\u65b0\u6210\u5458\u52a0\u5165\uff0c\u901f\u5ea6\u5c06\u53d1\u751f\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u65b0\u6210\u5458\u9700\u8981\u65f6\u95f4\u9002\u5e94\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u4f1a\u964d\u4f4e\u521d\u671f\u7684\u4ea7\u51fa\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u6280\u672f\u503a\u52a1\uff1a<\/strong> \u9ad8\u989d\u7684\u6280\u672f\u503a\u52a1\u4f1a\u51cf\u7f13\u5f00\u53d1\u8fdb\u5ea6\u3002\u91cd\u6784\u5de5\u4f5c\u4f1a\u6d88\u8017\u672c\u53ef\u7528\u4e8e\u65b0\u529f\u80fd\u7684\u5bb9\u91cf\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u5916\u90e8\u4f9d\u8d56\uff1a<\/strong> \u7b49\u5f85\u7b2c\u4e09\u65b9 API \u6216\u5176\u4ed6\u56e2\u961f\u4f1a\u5f62\u6210\u74f6\u9888\uff0c\u964d\u4f4e\u5b9e\u9645\u901f\u5ea6\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u4e0a\u4e0b\u6587\u5207\u6362\uff1a<\/strong> \u9891\u7e41\u7684\u5e72\u6270\u548c\u591a\u4efb\u52a1\u5904\u7406\u4f1a\u964d\u4f4e\u4e13\u6ce8\u5ea6\uff0c\u51cf\u7f13\u5b8c\u6210\u901f\u5ea6\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u8303\u56f4\u53d8\u66f4\uff1a<\/strong> \u5728\u51b2\u523a\u4e2d\u9014\u6dfb\u52a0\u9700\u6c42\u4f1a\u7834\u574f\u5de5\u4f5c\u6d41\uff0c\u964d\u4f4e\u6700\u7ec8\u5b8c\u6210\u6570\u91cf\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>\u9884\u6d4b\u4ea4\u4ed8\u65e5\u671f \ud83d\uddd3\ufe0f<\/h2>\n<p>\u4e00\u65e6\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u5efa\u7acb\u8d77\u6765\uff0c\u5b83\u5c31\u6210\u4e3a\u9884\u6d4b\u5de5\u5177\u3002\u8fd9\u5bf9\u53d1\u5e03\u8ba1\u5212\u5c24\u5176\u6709\u7528\u3002\u8be5\u8fc7\u7a0b\u5305\u62ec\u5c06\u5269\u4f59\u5de5\u4f5c\u91cf\u9664\u4ee5\u5e73\u5747\u901f\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u516c\u5f0f<\/h3>\n<p>\u4f30\u7b97\u6240\u9700\u51b2\u523a\u6b21\u6570\uff1a<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>\u786e\u5b9a\u5269\u4f59\u5de5\u4f5c\uff1a<\/strong> \u5c06\u4ea7\u54c1\u5f85\u529e\u4e8b\u9879\u5217\u8868\u4e2d\u6240\u6709\u9879\u76ee\u70b9\u6570\u76f8\u52a0\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u786e\u5b9a\u5e73\u5747\u901f\u5ea6\uff1a<\/strong> \u4f7f\u7528\u6700\u8fd1\u4e09\u5230\u4e94\u4e2a\u51b2\u523a\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u503c\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u8ba1\u7b97\u51b2\u523a\u6b21\u6570\uff1a<\/strong> \u5c06\u5269\u4f59\u5de5\u4f5c\u91cf\u9664\u4ee5\u5e73\u5747\u901f\u5ea6\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><strong>\u793a\u4f8b\uff1a<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u5269\u4f59\u603b\u70b9\u6570\uff1a100<\/li>\n<li>\u5e73\u5747\u901f\u5ea6\uff1a\u6bcf\u6b21\u51b2\u523a20\u70b9<\/li>\n<li>\u9884\u8ba1\u51b2\u523a\u6b21\u6570\uff1a100 \u00f7 20 = 5 \u6b21\u51b2\u523a<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u6b64\u8ba1\u7b97\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u57fa\u51c6\u3002\u5e94\u6839\u636e\u5df2\u77e5\u98ce\u9669\u8fdb\u884c\u8c03\u6574\u3002\u5982\u679c\u5b58\u5728\u91cd\u5927\u4f9d\u8d56\u5c1a\u672a\u89e3\u51b3\uff0c\u5e94\u5728\u4f30\u7b97\u4e2d\u589e\u52a0\u7f13\u51b2\u65f6\u95f4\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u901f\u5ea6\u8ddf\u8e2a\u4e2d\u7684\u5e38\u89c1\u9677\u9631 \ud83d\udeab<\/h2>\n<p>\u56e2\u961f\u5e38\u5e38\u8bef\u7528\u901f\u5ea6\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f1a\u4f7f\u6570\u636e\u5931\u6548\u3002\u4e86\u89e3\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9677\u9631\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u4fdd\u6301\u6570\u636e\u7684\u5b8c\u6574\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u865a\u62a5\u4f30\u7b97\uff1a<\/strong> \u5938\u5927\u6545\u4e8b\u70b9\u6570\uff0c\u4f7f\u901f\u5ea6\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002\u8fd9\u4f1a\u5e26\u6765\u865a\u5047\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u8ba1\u7b97\u90e8\u5206\u5de5\u4f5c\uff1a<\/strong> \u5c06\u672a\u5b8c\u6210\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\u8ba1\u5165\u4ee5\u63d0\u9ad8\u6570\u5b57\u3002\u8fd9\u4f1a\u626d\u66f2\u672a\u6765\u7684\u8ba1\u5212\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u5ffd\u7565\u5b8c\u6210\u7684\u5b9a\u4e49\uff1a<\/strong> \u5728\u672a\u6ee1\u8db3\u6240\u6709\u6807\u51c6\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u5c06\u9879\u76ee\u6807\u8bb0\u4e3a\u5b8c\u6210\u3002\u8fd9\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u6280\u672f\u503a\u52a1\u7d2f\u79ef\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u6bd4\u8f83\u56e2\u961f\uff1a<\/strong> \u4f7f\u7528\u901f\u5ea6\u6765\u6392\u540d\u56e2\u961f\u3002\u8fd9\u4f1a\u9f13\u52b1\u4eba\u4e3a\u64cd\u7eb5\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u8bda\u5b9e\u6c47\u62a5\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u53d8\u66f4\u4f30\u7b97\u6807\u51c6\uff1a<\/strong> \u4ece\u6545\u4e8b\u70b9\u8f6c\u5411\u5c0f\u65f6\u4f46\u672a\u91cd\u65b0\u6821\u51c6\u3002\u4e00\u81f4\u6027\u662f\u5173\u952e\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>\u8003\u8651\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\u548c\u98ce\u9669 \ud83d\udee1\ufe0f<\/h2>\n<p> \u5373\u4f7f\u6709\u5386\u53f2\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u4f9d\u7136\u5b58\u5728\u3002\u654f\u6377\u89c4\u5212\u5fc5\u987b\u8003\u8651\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\u3002\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u5e94\u5305\u542b\u8bef\u5dee\u4f59\u91cf\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u7f6e\u4fe1\u533a\u95f4<\/h3>\n<p> \u4e0d\u8981\u53ea\u7ed9\u51fa\u4e00\u4e2a\u65e5\u671f\uff0c\u800c\u5e94\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u4e2a\u8303\u56f4\u3002\u5982\u679c\u8ba1\u7b97\u8868\u660e\u9700\u8981\u4e94\u4e2a\u51b2\u523a\uff0c\u53ef\u8003\u8651\u8868\u8ff0\u4e3a\u56db\u5230\u516d\u4e2a\u51b2\u523a\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8303\u56f4\u627f\u8ba4\u4e86\u56e2\u961f\u7ee9\u6548\u7684\u81ea\u7136\u6ce2\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u7f13\u51b2\u533a\u5206\u914d<\/h3>\n<p> \u4e3a\u672a\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u6263\u9664\u4e00\u5b9a\u6bd4\u4f8b\u7684\u5bb9\u91cf\u3002\u5e38\u89c1\u505a\u6cd5\u662f\u9884\u7559\u51b2\u523a\u65f6\u95f4\u768420%\u7528\u4e8e\u5904\u7406\u7f3a\u9677\u3001\u652f\u6301\u5de5\u5355\u6216\u610f\u5916\u53d8\u66f4\u3002\u8fd9\u53ef\u786e\u4fdd\u56e2\u961f\u4e0d\u4f1a\u8fc7\u5ea6\u627f\u8bfa\u65b0\u529f\u80fd\u3002<\/p>\n<table>\n<tr>\n<th>\u60c5\u666f<\/th>\n<th>\u8c03\u6574<\/th>\n<th>\u5bf9\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u5f71\u54cd<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u65b0\u56e2\u961f\u6210\u5458<\/td>\n<td>\u5c06\u901f\u5ea6\u964d\u4f4e30%<\/td>\n<td>\u589e\u52a0\u51b2\u523a\u6b21\u6570<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u6280\u672f\u503a\u52a1\u8f83\u9ad8<\/td>\n<td>\u5c06\u901f\u5ea6\u964d\u4f4e20%<\/td>\n<td>\u589e\u52a0\u51b2\u523a\u6b21\u6570<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u590d\u6742\u9886\u57df<\/td>\n<td>\u5c06\u901f\u5ea6\u964d\u4f4e15%<\/td>\n<td>\u589e\u52a0\u51b2\u523a\u6b21\u6570<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u7a33\u5b9a\u73af\u5883<\/td>\n<td>\u4fdd\u6301\u5f53\u524d\u901f\u5ea6<\/td>\n<td>\u6807\u51c6\u9884\u6d4b<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<h2>\u56e2\u961f\u52a8\u6001\u4e0e\u6210\u719f\u5ea6 \ud83e\udd1d<\/h2>\n<p>\u968f\u7740\u56e2\u961f\u7684\u6210\u719f\uff0c\u901f\u5ea6\u4f1a\u968f\u4e4b\u6f14\u53d8\u3002\u9879\u76ee\u521d\u671f\uff0c\u56e2\u961f\u5728\u5b66\u4e60\u4ea7\u54c1\u548c\u5efa\u7acb\u5de5\u4f5c\u6d41\u7a0b\uff0c\u901f\u5ea6\u53ef\u80fd\u8f83\u4f4e\u3002\u8fd9\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u5f62\u6210\u671f\u548c\u9707\u8361\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u5f62\u6210\u671f\uff1a<\/strong> \u901f\u5ea6\u8f83\u4f4e\u3002\u91cd\u70b9\u5728\u4e8e\u5efa\u7acb\u6d41\u7a0b\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u9707\u8361\u671f\uff1a<\/strong> \u901f\u5ea6\u6ce2\u52a8\u3002\u51b2\u7a81\u548c\u8c03\u6574\u9891\u7e41\u53d1\u751f\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u89c4\u8303\u671f\uff1a<\/strong> \u901f\u5ea6\u8d8b\u4e8e\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002\u56e2\u961f\u627e\u5230\u4e86\u8282\u594f\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong> \u6267\u884c\u4e2d\uff1a<\/strong> \u9ad8\u4e14\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u901f\u7387\u3002\u56e2\u961f\u6548\u7387\u9ad8\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p> 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